SWOT Analysis
by Deloitte
Strengths
• Well-organized and structured legal framework in the energy sector
• EPDK operating as an independent market regulator
• High growth potential of the Turkish energy sector compared with other European countries.
• Advantage of Turkey operating as an energy hub between Europe and the Middle East.
Electricity
• Increase in the share of the private sector through the privatization of state-owned generation assets
• Probable horizontal and vertical mergers of electricity, natural gas and water distribution, to allow synergy between regional utility companies
Natural Gas
• High gas demand drives growth potential
• Favorable gas supply geography and infrastructure
• Potential role as a transit corridor and potential for development of trading hubs
Opportunities
Electricity
• Privatization of regional distribution companies (to be finalized by 2010) will allow for an independent merchants’ market
• Synergy expected to be created between electricity, natural gas and water distribution businesses
Natural Gas
• Tenders for the remaining cities, gas requirements to be met by end of 2011
• Privatization of municipality owned natural gas distribution companies.
• Restructuring of BOTAS and transition to a competitive market structure
• Increasing interest by foreign investors in the natural gas distribution market.
Weaknesses
Electricity
• Coal is the only energy source with significant domestic availability, leaving the country increasingly import-dependent
Natural Gas
• Requirement for gas storage for system security reasons
• Dependence on imported natural gas
Threats
Natural Gas
• No new contract releases are announced/expected in the short term
• Shortage of electricity supply against electricity demand.
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